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The market

The Canadian opportunity is an estimated $350M to $1.9B per year in fee pools as the market forms.

4orm estimate, derived from McKinsey base case. See market sizing notes in the data room.

McKinsey base case: $16T global tokenized real-world asset market by 2030. On-chain tokenized value today: approximately $1.5T settled cumulatively through production international tokenized-settlement systems (industry reporting; BIS Innovation Hub and bank disclosures; full citation in the data room). The question is no longer whether Canada operates on tokenized-settlement infrastructure. It is who operates it.

Global RWA 2030
$16T
McKinsey base case · 75% CAGR
On-chain RWA today
$1.5T+
international tokenized-settlement systems settled to date
Canada fee pools/yr
$350M-$1.9B
Canadian tokenized real-world asset infrastructure fee pools
Directional support
$100M
Project Samara tokenized bond, March 2026
Where the market is headed

From ~$1.5T on-chain today to $16T global by 2030 (McKinsey base case).

Four data points anchor the trajectory. They come from sources institutional buyers actually read: McKinsey, BlackRock, international tokenized-settlement reports, and the Bank of Canada. Source notes are at the bottom of every chart in the data room.

2030 base case

$16T global

McKinsey's base case for tokenized RWAs by 2030. 75% CAGR across asset classes.

McKinsey
2026 throughput

$1.5T+ settled

Cumulative tokenized-settlement volume processed on production international systems (industry reporting, BIS Innovation Hub and bank disclosures; full citation in the data room).

International systems
2030 Canada annual

$1.9B/yr

4orm's bottom-up Canadian tokenized real-world asset infrastructure fee pool, derived from McKinsey base case.

4orm Master Pro Forma
2026 directional support

$100M tokenized bond

Bank of Canada Project Samara settled tokenized bond pilot with RBC, TD, and EDC.

Bank of Canada
The Canadian landscape

Canada has the assets, the custody, the stablecoin infrastructure. It does not yet have the institutional bridge.

Examples below are public market participants, named for context only; inclusion does not imply any relationship with 4orm. What Canada already has: credible asset issuers, qualified custodians, regulated stablecoin infrastructure, a securities-grade blockchain. What Canada does not yet have: institutional liquidity, a bank-aligned secondary market, an investor pool, or a settlement layer connecting these issuers to the buy-side. That's the bridge 4orm Finance is being built to be.

Asset issuers

Already credible

T-RIZE Group (Quebec tokenized real estate). Ocree Capital (Ontario exempt market dealer). Pineapple Financial (reported tokenized mortgages, approximate, subject to change per company disclosure). AuCan Gold (reported tokenized mining bullion, approximate, subject to change per company disclosure).

Issuer layer present
Stablecoin infrastructure

Multiple operators

Stablecorp's QCAD. Cybrid. Loon. Canadian-dollar tokenized cash infrastructure already exists in production.

CAD infrastructure present
Custody

Qualified custodians

Tetra Trust (Canada's first qualified digital custodian). Balance Trust. Brane Trust. The custody layer is regulated and operating.

Custody present

What's missing is the layer that connects them: regulated institutional liquidity, multi-bank settlement corridors, and an investor pool of size. The domestic incumbent to watch is TMX/CDS, the vertical clearing-and-settlement institution; 4orm's answer is neutrality (no single bank owns it, no vertical monopoly). That layer is the opportunity. 4orm Finance is being built to be it.

Recent institutional momentum

Three signals in six months.

Q2 2026

CSA launches Project Tokenization

The Canadian Securities Administrators formally raised tokenization to a national regulatory initiative. The market-structure question moved from "if" to "who builds it."

CSA
2026

BMO · CME · Google Cloud tokenized cash

Bank of Montreal announced tokenized cash and deposit infrastructure built with CME and Google Cloud. A second Tier-1 Canadian bank moving on production-grade tokenized infrastructure.

BMO + CME
March 2026

Bank of Canada Project Samara

$100M tokenized bond trial completed with RBC, TD, and EDC. Full lifecycle, regulatory sign-off from OSC, AMF, and CIRO. The reference architecture for what comes next.

Bank of Canada
The thesis

Whoever operates the neutral settlement layer sets the standard.

Canadian RWA market · 2026
Opening August 1, 2026 · 90-day window

The full market sizing is in the data room.

The 4orm Master Pro Forma breaks Canadian tokenized real-world asset infrastructure fee pools into bottom-up scenarios. McKinsey base case is the conservative anchor. Access is granted to qualified institutional and accredited parties after a brief founder conversation.

4orm Finance family

The 4orm Finance family.